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Predictions for 2024
My predictions on politics, economics, AI, etc in the ACX prediction contest
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Jack
7

November 2022

What can we learn from scoring different election forecasts?
Analyzing the accuracy of different prediction platforms on the US 2022 midterm elections
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Jack
Comparing election forecast accuracy
How accurate are different prediction platforms on the US 2022 midterm elections?
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Jack
2

January 2022

What should I do if exposed to Covid?
If you're vaccinated, the risk of infection for a single exposure is low but noticeable
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Jack
What to do if you get Covid
Guidelines on isolating, and possible treatments to reduce your risk of hospitalization
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Jack
3
Omicron
My thoughts on how Omicron affects Covid risk and what we should do about it
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Jack
Predictions for 2022
Forecasting on the pandemic, science, tech, politics, and economics
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Jack

December 2021

How to evaluate Covid risk in an evolving pandemic
Estimating risks to decide what safety measures are worthwhile, and how to think about changing risks with surges and variants
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Jack
Future topics I'd like to write about
Some of the topics I have planned: Additional topics around Covid as mentioned on my covid page Tech company stock options Tech company interviewing…
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Jack
Mask recommendations
If you're still using a cloth or surgical mask, upgrade to an N95 or P100 for much better protection
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Jack
Covid vaccine recommendations
This is pretty short and simple: Get a Covid booster of Moderna or Pfizer - see CDC recommendations Get it as soon as possible - the booster is…
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Jack
Air filtration: One easy trick to reduce Covid risk 4-fold and increase your life expectancy 2 months
Recommendations for air purifiers/filters and air quality in general
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Jack
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